Calendar · October 2026 to December 2027
Trade-rule calendar for buyers of Chinese goods
Every dated change we track, in date order, with the document that sets it. A date marked pending depends on a notice that has not been published yet; a date marked conditional moves if something else happens first.
2026
| Date | Jurisdiction | What changes | Set by |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 9, 11:59 p.m. EDT | US | 178 Section 301 exclusions expire unless extended | 90 FR 55232 |
| November 10 (pending: announced as moved to January 10, 2027) | US | Section 301 maritime duties on Chinese cranes and chassis start; the affiliates-rule suspension ends | HTS 9903.91.12, 9903.91.14; White House fact sheet, November 1, 2025 |
| November 10 (pending: announced as moved to January 10, 2027) | China | Suspension of the October 2025 export-control package ends (more rare earths, high-energy batteries and anode materials, rare-earth technology, extraterritorial rule) | MOFCOM Announcement No. 70 of 2025 |
| November 27 | China | Suspension of the US-only presumption of denial for gallium, germanium, antimony and superhard materials ends | MOFCOM Announcement No. 72 of 2025 |
| December 7 | US | Comments due on CBP's proposed rule on informal entries and a new mail entry type | 91 FR 64532 |
| December 30 | EU | Deforestation Regulation applies (large and medium operators) | Regulation (EU) 2025/2650 |
| December 31 | US | Statutory deadline for Treasury's new cost tables and effective-control guidance for the battery tax-credit entity rules | 26 U.S.C. 7701(a)(51)(D)(iii), (a)(52)(D)(iii) |
| December 31 | China | Last day of the 6% VAT export rebate on batteries | MOF/STA Announcement No. 2 of 2026 |
2027
| Date | Jurisdiction | What changes | Set by |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 1 | China | VAT export rebate on batteries abolished | MOF/STA Announcement No. 2 of 2026 |
| January 1 | US | Storage projects beginning construction need a 60% cost ratio free of prohibited foreign entities (55% in 2026); battery components sold need 65% | 26 U.S.C. 7701(a)(52)(B), (C) |
| January 1 | US | Defense contractors may not deliver SmCo or NdFeB magnets whose material was mined, refined or separated in China (previously: melted or produced) | 10 U.S.C. 4872(a)(3); DFARS 252.225-7052 |
| January 1 (conditional: applies only to contracts after a final DFARS rule) | US | Defense Department ban on covered printed circuit boards from China, Russia, North Korea and Iran | 10 U.S.C. 4873; DFARS Case 2022-D011 |
| January 10 | US, China | Announced new end of the Kuala Lumpur truce arrangement | MOFCOM statement, September 28, 2026 |
| February 1 | EU | CBAM certificates go on sale | Regulation (EU) 2023/956, Art. 20 |
| February 18 | EU | QR code on every battery; battery passport; user-removable portable batteries | Regulation (EU) 2023/1542, Arts. 11, 13(6), 77 |
| March 31 | EU | First quarter-end on which CBAM declarants must hold certificates for at least 50% of the year's embedded emissions | Regulation (EU) 2023/956, Art. 22(2) |
| About May 24 | US | Latest date for USTR to announce the higher Section 301 semiconductor rate (at least 30 days before June 23) | 90 FR 60848 |
| June 23 | US | Section 301 duty on Chinese semiconductors rises from 0% to the announced rate | 90 FR 60848 |
| June 30 | EU | Deforestation Regulation applies to micro and small operators | Regulation (EU) 2025/2650 |
| July 1 | US | De minimis ends by statute (already suspended for all countries) | Public Law 119-21, sec. 70531 |
| August 18 | EU | Battery supply-chain due diligence obligations apply | Regulation (EU) 2025/1561 |
| September 30 | EU | First CBAM annual declaration and certificate surrender, for 2026 imports | Regulation (EU) 2023/956, Arts. 6, 22 |
| October 31 | EU | Last day to request repurchase of excess CBAM certificates | Regulation (EU) 2023/956, Art. 23 |
| November 1 | EU | Unused CBAM certificates bought for 2026 are cancelled | Regulation (EU) 2023/956, Art. 24(2) |
| December 1 | EU | Commission report due on extending the €3 low-value parcel duty | Council Regulation (EU) 2026/382 |
| December 14 | EU | Forced Labour Regulation applies | Regulation (EU) 2024/3015, Art. 39 |
| December 31 | US | Statutory deadline for per-mineral cost thresholds under the battery-component credit | 26 U.S.C. 7701(a)(52)(C)(ii) |
Beyond 2027
- January 1, 2028: HS 2028 enters into force, renumbering many tariff headings (World Customs Organization). Origin rules written against the old headings may need re-checking.
- January 1, 2028 (conditional): CBAM extended to downstream products, if the Commission's proposal is adopted.
- July 1, 2028: the EU's €3 flat duty on low-value parcels ends unless extended.
How this calendar is kept
Each row comes from the document in its last column; the pages linked below give the URLs and quote the text. When a government announces a change without publishing the notice, the row keeps the legal date and is marked pending. The calendar was last checked on the date shown at the foot of this page.
- What the November 2026 deadline changes
- Tariffs on lithium-ion batteries from China
- Battery storage tax credits and Chinese-owned suppliers
- China's export controls on rare earths and battery materials
- EU rules for imports from China
- The Section 301 forced-labor tariff
- Section 301 exclusions expiring November 9, 2026
- The June 2027 semiconductor tariff increase
- The UFLPA for battery and mineral importers
- Rare-earth permanent magnets from China
- Graphite and anode material from China
- Connectors and cable assemblies from China
- Printed circuit boards from China
- Moving production out of China
Get the changes by email. Write to sales@cargovate.com with the subject "China Prospect updates" and we will send you a note when a date on this calendar moves. We use the address only for that, and you can ask to stop at any time.
Last checked 2026-10-14